Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 2.104767 2.399749 2.721008 3.096854 3.524540 3.996131 4.555701
2025-09-14 1.600901 1.990828 2.453057 3.041413 3.770663 4.645347 5.775098
2025-09-21 1.330400 1.756349 2.291607 3.013650 3.962819 5.169091 6.820795
2025-09-28 1.133981 1.572374 2.150291 2.967963 4.096023 5.599362 7.758917
2025-10-05 1.067489 1.544608 2.200254 3.167106 4.558052 6.489671 9.382318
2025-10-12 0.961543 1.445497 2.135768 3.192175 4.770131 7.043850 10.578186
2025-10-19 0.897810 1.397602 2.135110 3.302720 5.107616 7.797441 12.123390
2025-10-26 0.811700 1.305111 2.056516 3.284123 5.243072 8.255092 13.254613
2025-11-02 0.740003 1.226433 1.989387 3.273099 5.383472 8.724562 14.436671
2025-11-09 0.667342 1.138097 1.897313 3.210732 5.431457 9.045572 15.399277
2025-11-16 0.623205 1.092054 1.868433 3.247417 5.641962 9.642226 16.863383
2025-11-23 0.584570 1.051213 1.843645 3.286991 5.857809 10.261012 18.412735
2025-11-30 0.533655 0.987807 1.781034 3.266993 5.989923 10.785387 19.917200
2025-12-07 0.481292 0.917080 1.699991 3.208515 6.052559 11.203066 21.292070
2025-12-14 0.439634 0.861208 1.639243 3.179229 6.162521 11.711047 22.876919
2025-12-21 0.400407 0.805506 1.572717 3.131034 6.229651 12.142040 24.352623
2025-12-28 0.396351 0.817983 1.636590 3.341105 6.816466 13.612719 28.002665
2026-01-04 0.371485 0.785856 1.609930 3.367549 7.039157 14.391909 30.339799
2026-01-11 0.358312 0.776296 1.627054 3.484158 7.455454 15.592897 33.657983
2026-01-18 0.332818 0.737980 1.581429 3.464542 7.584077 16.215485 35.815045
2026-01-25 0.310441 0.704054 1.541593 3.452913 7.727575 16.880024 38.124052
2026-02-01 0.285498 0.661857 1.479941 3.387124 7.745327 17.275472 39.874340
2026-02-08 0.271184 0.642253 1.465746 3.425822 7.999695 18.208753 42.926644